Trillion Dollar Economies In 2020: What’s Next?
The so-called trillion-dollar club, which includes economic giants the United States, Japan, Germany, and India, is the group of countries with a nominal gross domestic product (GDP) of $1 trillion or more.
Unsurprisingly, the undisputed leader of this bunch, the U.S., with a nominal GDP of $21.44 trillion, is the biggest economy in the world in 2020. Trailing closely behind is America’s arch-rival China. The Asian giant currently has a nominal GDP of $14.44 trillion in 2019, it makes up 16.38% of the global economy.
Trillion Dollar Economies: The sixteen largest economies in the world represent almost 78% of the global GDP of $86.31 billion, so it does matter these countries see eye to eye [on trade].
If we look even closer, the top 5 economies in terms of nominal gross domestic product (GDP) — the United States, China, Japan, Germany, and India — contribute a whopping 55 percent to the world’s GDP.
What’s Next?
The IMF sees the United States GDP at 2 percent in 2020 and will decline further to 1.7 percent in 2021. The United States economy is set to grow to $25.8 trillion by 2024 with its GDP per capita at rising to $76,252 from the current $65,111.
Based on 2019 figures, the size of China’s nominal GDP was lesser than that of the U.S. by around $7.3 trillion, the gap is expected to reduce to around $4.5 trillion by 2024. China is projected to grow at 6% in 2020, and by 5.8% in 2021. The unstoppable Goliath is on the path to become a $20 trillion economy by 2024.
The trillion-dollar club
Trillion Dollar Economies And Their Growth In 2020
Rank | Country | GDP (2019 Estimates in US$trillion) | Projected Growth (2020) |
---|---|---|---|
1 | United States | $21.44 trillion | 2% |
2 | China | $14.44 trillion | 6.0% |
3 | Japan | $5.15 trillion | 0.7% |
4 | Germany | $3.86 trillion | 1.1% |
5 | India | $2.94 trillion | 5.8% |
6 | United Kingdom | $2.74 trillion | 1.4% |
7 | France | $2.71 trillion | 1.3% |
8 | Italy | $1.99 trillion | 0.5% |
9 | Brazil | $1.85 trillion | 2.2% |
10 | Canada | $1.73 trillion | 1.8% |
11 | Russia | $1.649 trillion | 1.9% |
12 | South Korea | $1.63 trillion | 2.2% |
13 | Spain | $1.40 trillion | 1.6% |
14 | Australia | $1.38 trillion | 2.3% |
15 | Mexico | $1.27 trillion | 1.0% |
16 | Indonesia | $1.11 trillion | 5.1% |
Japan contributes almost 6 percent of the global gross domestic product (GDP). Japan’s GDP touched $5 trillion in 2019 and is expected to grow at 0.7% in 2020. Japan’s economy is expected to expand to $6.26 billion by 2024 based on current growth estimates. Germany is projected to grow at 1.1% in 2020 and 1.4% in 2021, higher than 0.5% in 2019.
With a GDP of $2.94 trillion, India is the fifth-largest economy in the world and the third-largest economy in Asia. After a disappointing 2019, India’s economy is expected to expand by 5.8 percent in 2020 and 6.5 percent in 2021. India to become a $3.2 trillion economy in 2020 and reach $4.6 trillion by 2024.
By 2023-24, India and Germany would be very close to each other in terms of the size of the nominal gross domestic product (GDP), making it a close contest for the spot of the 4th-biggest world economy.